Black-veined white in southern Britain.
With BVW popping up at sites around the UK, and headlines appearing that suggest climate change together with habitat restoration/improvements are rendering much of southern Britain suitable for the re-establishment of this species, I’ve been motivated to spend a few years taking a closer look.
The main papers that deal with this are the M J Carroll one from 2009 (climate modelling) and the recent Chris Thomas paper that is still undergoing peer review (I think).
They rely heavily on climatic modelling and the headline conclusion is that:
“Substantial areas of England are already expected to be amongst the climatically most suitable parts of Europe for this insect”
If this is true then all the other factors should only have to be reasonably good for BVW to thrive. When climatic conditions really are optimal, then all the other dials can be twiddled around however one likes (within reason) and the species in question will most likely bob along quite nicely. Twiddle them favourably and it booms, twiddle them unfavourably and it bobs along until boom time returns. Whatever these other dials happen to be for a particular species (weather, habitat provision, parasitoid load, predation levels etc) as long as the underlying climatic conditions are optimal then this tends to be how things play out.
At the margins of a species range however, where climatic conditions are the limiting factor the situation is far more precarious, and there may well be very limited tolerance for any of the other dials moving away from optimal. That much seems pretty obvious.
My problem with all this for BVW in southern Britain is that I don’t believe that climatic conditions are anything like optimal, and far from improving year on year with climate change I would suggest that overall they’re actually getting worse.
I can well imagine that if one was to stand amongst trial releases of BVW gliding around the never ending scrub of certain pockets of the South Downs on a sunny June day in the middle of a heatwave then it might be very natural to become rather excited about the prospect of a successful reintroduction - but this is not the time of year that presents the most significant challenges. Warmer, sunnier summers and potentially drier autumns will indeed suit BVW - dials that appear to be turning gradually in the right direction, but I’m not convinced the position of these dials was seriously limiting BVW in the UK to begin with.
Winter I think is more important, and this dial is turning the wrong way (warming) and spring is the most important and again, conditions for BVW are worsening.
Having now reared the species in considerable numbers for a run of years and experienced a variety of conditions I’ve come to the same conclusion that many more experienced breeders have long since known - excessive spring rain is a big problem.

- Just some colour to brighten up this text……
The way to ensure good survival is to keep them dry and to expose them to as much sun as possible. Keeping them covered or even inside in a position where they still receive sun is very successful. The problem with this is that they develop too quickly under these conditions and are out too early in the year. The adults then have to contend with the back end of our spring weather and are also out in advance of some of their favoured nectar sources which encourages dispersal. The resulting eggs take longer to develop, are subjected to more frequent downpours (which surprisingly can actually wash them off) and have a lower success rate as a result. Keeping overwintering larvae artificially cold (a few degrees above freezing) is ideal, and allows them to be kept dry and to be brought out of hibernation at a much better time (May) but this is hard to achieve in captivity as good airflow is also required.
Rearing this species definitely feels like things are always on a knife edge - with good weather things can go very well but with poor conditions it can all be over very quickly. This doesn’t fill me with confidence.
Clearly BVW has to be able to deal with rain as throughout its range it must develop post-diapause in spring conditions to be ready to fly in the summer. The problems begin, however, with periods of persistent rain when the larvae are once again feeding. They are very prone to virus under these conditions and although I’m no expert in lepidopteran diseases/viruses, I would guess that it probably has something to do with sitting around for days/weeks on end in a damp communal web full of their own faeces.
Anyone who’s ever attempted to rear butterfly/moth species in captivity (especially when humidity is required and plastic boxes are used) will know that hygiene is everything. They cannot be allowed to hang around in moist conditions in close proximity to their own waste for too long or else disaster (in the shape of virus) will surely strike. Species that can be kept in dry conditions (when net cages can be used) are markedly more tolerant to poor sanitation.
What this species really needs to thrive, therefore (at least in terms of post-dispause developmental conditions), is an explosive spring where the regular downpours are quickly dried by a strong sun. The closer this period is to the height of summer, the better. A long cold winter followed by an explosive spring that leads quickly into a hot summer is optimal.
What we have in the UK is a warming winter and an ever earlier (and increasingly slow) spring. The point at which post-diapause larvae are emerging and more crucially are able to begin feeding (leafing time) is becoming earlier and earlier and moving further and further away from the height of summer. This means that post-diapause they have to endure an ever longer and slower development phase where they will regularly find themselves exposed to excessively wet periods where even when the sun breaks through drying takes so long that is is often not completed before the next wet period arrives. These are exactly the conditions that kill them. For this particular condition the dial for southern Britain must be close to, and moving ever closer towards the negative extreme.
Large tortoiseshell and Camberwell beauty suffer under our conditions in the same way (both live in communal webs for most of their development), but do at least have the advantage of developing closer to summer (when the sun is stronger and water is evaporated more quickly) as eggs are laid in spring so larvae are later. The advice when rearing these species is always to avoid excessive rain!
One other potentially important factor worth mentioning for BVW is predation. Nice plump L3 larvae will be one of the first food sources to appear on the scene post winter. However big a problem predation is for BVW (I have no idea) it can only get worse by emerging earlier from the relative safety of their hibernacula and extending the length of the vulnerable development period. Some previous studies have suggested that predation by birds is a very important factor so it is not encouraging that this would again appear to be a dial that is turning in the wrong direction.
It is true that you can find fairly convincing climatic matches around Europe where BVW is present but my guess would be that if we really looked closely they wouldn’t be flourishing in those areas, and I think they’ll really need to flourish to get a proper foothold back here.
As with all reintro attempts under marginal conditions the short term results will largely depend upon what the weather dial does over the reintroduction period, and if we’re fortunate then it could be that they establish quite well. My concern of course is for the longer term prospects where I feel the fact that our spring conditions are ever worsening will eventually take its toll.
Having said all that I’ve just been reading about Hutchinson’s Bank where it appears a thriving colony has now self-established after a single gravid female (presumably having popped in to her local
agent de voyage and picked out HB from the many options) touched down a couple of summers ago. If it’s that easy then there’ll be no need for a reintroduction attempt and we can expect to be overrun with them within a few years.
Speaking of the reintroduction attempts - I’m certainly not in any way against giving these a really good go. There are some fantastically knowledgeable people involved (certainly with the official ones and perhaps too with the ‘less official’ ones) with teams of volunteers ready to get stuck into the fieldwork so at the very least these projects will be fascinating and highly informative.
On the positive side I would just say that it is often the case that rearing issues in captivity are not reflected in wild populations where females are able to select the most suitable locations for egg laying. In a year where the vast majority of my captive stock was lost to virus I am encouraged that a small sample of ‘wild’ individuals (don’t ask) developed without issue.
It seems like it’ll be a very interesting few years and if we end up with BVW thriving in the UK once again then I’ll be very happy to be wrong about the importance of spring conditions!